I simulated the Mets’ season with AI. Did they do enough to win it all?
· Yahoo Sports
Can the Mets get back to the playoffs and finally get over the hump in October this year with their new-look roster?
Will a severe roster overhaul overseen by president of baseball operations David Stearns be the secret to success?
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Will the chemistry — something that proved to be a deadly domino in last year’s epic collapse — click with a combination of veterans and fresh faces?
To answer these questions, I did what anyone would do in 2026 — I asked AI.
Here’s what they told us:
After inputting the Mets’ Opening Day roster, ChatGPT predicted the Mets will finish this season with a final record of 93-69, winning the National League East for the first time since 2015.
In the playoffs, the AI simulation projected that the Mets would defeat the division rival Phillies in the Division Series, upset the Dodgers in the Championship Series and then lose to the Astros in the World Series in six games.
Here’s a recap of the Mets’ simulated season from ChatGPT, with some specific updates along the way:
AI’s prediction has the Mets roaring out of the gates to begin the year. Juan Soto starts the year playing at an MVP level, swatting six home runs in April, while Freddy Peralta pitches like an ace (1.95 ERA) over the first month of the season.
April record: 16-11 (first place)
The Mets are hit with their first significant injury blow of the season in May, losing Kodai Senga for over a month to a shoulder strain. Meanwhile, Luis Robert Jr. goes on a home run tear, hitting 10 long balls in May.
Record by June 1: 32-23 (first place)
Regression and turbulence arrive in June. Bo Bichette slumps, Brett Baty struggles against lefties and Jorge Polanco lands on the injured list with a hamstring strain. With Nolan McLean hitting a “rookie wall” and David Peterson unable to stay consistent, the rotation is a liability and the Mets drop into second place.
June record: 13-14 (second place)
The Mets end the first half on a high note as Francisco Alvarez has a power surge and Senga returns from the IL strong. Closer Devin Williams is nearly perfect in June, lowering his ERA to below 2.00.
Record at All-Star break: 54-42
Mets All-Stars: Juan Soto (starter), Francisco Lindor, Freddy Peralta
At the trade deadline, AI predicts that the Mets will acquire a mid-rotation starter, a veteran with a 3.80 ERA. That stabilizes the rotation behind Peralta and Senga while pushing Clay Holmes into a swing role.
Come August, Soto “goes nuclear” with a .330 average and nine homers in the month. Luis Robert Jr. lands on the injured list with an oblique issue.
August record: 19-9 (take back first place)
To close out the season, the Mets win a critical series in the final week to hold off a late push from the Braves in the division race.
Soto wins National League MVP with Lindor finishing in the top five and Peralta finishing in the top five in the Cy Young Award race. AI has Alvarez as the Mets’ breakout player this year.
Again, the simulation has the Mets advancing to the World Series but falling to the Astros in six games. The rotation depth cracked and the offense, outside of Soto and Lindor, cooled in the Fall Classic.
ChatGPT’s simulation singled out rotation depth, injuries and inconsistency on offense (other than Lindor and Soto) as the three biggest flaws that hold the Mets back.
“Bottom line, this version of the New York Mets is a legitimate pennant-winning team — but just short of a championship," the simulation wrote. “They can win it all—but in this simulation, they get hot, make a real run and run into a slightly more complete team at the end."
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